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Larry McSwain: Slow population growth argues against Bear Creek Reservoir
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Dear editor,

Recent population projections by the Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget indicate continued slow growth for Newton County. This may be bad news for our local economy, but the new numbers provide opportunity for officials to reassess the need for the Bear Creek Reservoir as well as re-evaluate other plans to accommodate growth. If our county officials respond appropriately to this new information, taxpayers and water customers will not have to pay for a $136 million dollar project that will not be needed for decades to come. Our county’s current water supply will meet our needs for many years without building the costly new lake.

The latest estimate is that Newton County will reach a population of only 195,000 people by 2050. That is a shocking reduction from past predictions of 400,000 in the county’s 2050 Plan and 361,517 claimed in the county’s Bear Creek 404 Application submitted to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers in 2007. And, the new projections are even lower than those last provided by the State in 2013. The most recent population numbers are obviously influenced by the extremely slow growth of Newton County in the current decade. In 2010 Newton County had 99,598 people and 103,675 in 2014 according to U.S census data. This means our county has been growing by less than 1,000 people per year in recent times.

Population size is the most important factor in determining how much water is needed now and in the future. Water demand is calculated by multiplying the total population by the percent using public water (not private wells) then by multiplying that number by the gallons used by each individual on a daily basis. If Newton County reaches a 2050 population of 361,517, as the 404 Application states, and 100 percent are served by public water, and each person uses 130 gallons per day, the county will need 47 million gallons per day (mgd). Currently, Lake Varner and City Pond can provide 27.5 mgd. By using this future demand amount and by falsely claiming a lower capacity for our current reservoirs, county attorney and water consultant Tommy Craig says we will have a water shortage of 26 mgd in 2050. If true, this would argue strongly for building the new lake. Most of our county officials apparently believe Mr. Craig’s flawed numbers because they continue to spend money on this project.

However, the recent slow growth predictions create cracks in the argument for Bear Creek. Reducing the predicted population to 195,000 drops water demand in 2050 to 25.4 mgd which means we already have enough water without building Bear Creek! Using more accurate estimates of daily water use by individuals and the percent that are on public water will reduce our future residential water demand even lower. This is not a risky theory but is validated by examining the actual amount of water used in counties with 200,000 people like Henry and Cherokee Counties. In addition, a recent report by the U.S. Geological Survey shows a trend toward lower water use in Georgia.

What about water for future commercial and industrial growth which hopefully will be greater than the predicted slow residential growth? Commercial and industrial water use is typically a small portion of total water demand, often 10% or less. Currently, all of the largest industries in Covington use less than 1 mgd. Baxter initially used about 30,000 gallons per day and that will increase to 0.5 mgd by 2022. If more water is needed for new industries at some time in the future, it can be obtained from under-utilized reservoirs in Rockdale or Walton County much cheaper than by building Bear Creek Reservoir. In fact, we already have a connection to the Rockdale system.

Despite newer and more accurate data that shows Newton County has adequate water for decades to come, our Board of Commissioners continues to waste millions of dollars in pursuit of a permit to build the $136 million Bear Creek Reservoir. Citizens must insist that the $2 million dam design contract be cancelled and that the money saved be spent to make the improvements in our current water system that experts have recommended.

Larry McSwain

LETTER: Linda Hays
"A New Chapter for Newton County"
Linda Hays 1
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After 42 years of serving as the Clerk of Courts in Newton County, I decided to retire and step aside from this position that has been such a significant part of my life. It has been an honor and a privilege to serve our community, and I will always carry with me the memories of all the citizens and colleagues who made my career so fulfilling.

Just two days before Valentine's Day, I was humbled and honored to receive an unexpected request from Governor Brian Kemp to serve as the Interim Chairman of the Board of Commissioners for Newton County. I did not seek this appointment, but I accepted because I believe in the people of this county and want to help guide our future in the best direction possible.

I understand there are rumors circulating about the reasons behind my appointment but let me make it clear: my only commitment is to the citizens people of Newton County. I am not beholden to any individual or political group. I have served this county with integrity for over more than four decades, and that will not change as I take on this new role. In fact, I believe in serving this county so strongly to the point where I am not taking a salary for this position. I will not be earning a salary as Interim Chair, nor be receiving a county vehicle or pcard. My focus will remains solely on what is best for our community, and I will work tirelessly to ensure the needs of our county are met for as long as I hold this seat.

The Chair of the Newton County Board of Commissioners holds a critical leadership role in shaping the direction and future of our community. As the presiding officer of the Board, the Chair plays a central part in the county's governance and ensures the smooth operation of our local government. It is vital to preserve our way oflife and the community that we have all come to enjoy and love!

I want to highlight the Chairman's responsibilities because I know there have been many questions and some in our community may be unaware:

  1. Leadership and Oversight: The Chair leads the Board of Commissioners and guides the decision-making process. This involves setting the agenda for Board meetings, ensuring discussions are productive, and helping to establish priorities that align with the needs of the community.
  2. Facilitate Communication: The Chair acts as the primary spokesperson for the Board, fostering clear communication between the Board and the public. They ensure that important updates, decisions, and actions are conveyed transparently to the citizens of Newton County.
  3. Collaboration with County Departments: The Chair works closely with the county manager, department heads, and staff to ensure that county operations run smoothly. They ensure that policies are implemented effectively and that county resources are allocated to where they're most needed.
  4. Representation of Newton County: The Chair represents Newton County in various external meetings and forums, advocating for our county's interests at the state and federal levels, and working to secure funding and resources to support local initiatives.
  5. Voting and Decision-Making: As part of the Board, the Chair is actively involved in voting on important matters, such as the county budget, ordinances, and policies that affect the lives of every citizen in Newton County should there be a tie amongst the Commissioners.
  6. Promote Community Engagement: The Chair ensures that the public has opportunities to engage with the Board and have their voices heard. This includes overseeing public hearings, town hall meetings, and making sure that citizens' concerns are addressed.
  7. Crisis Management and Leadership: In times of crisis or unforeseen events, the Chair takes the lead in coordinating the county's response, ensuring that our residents are supported and that the county is prepared to navigate challenges efficiently.

Being the Chair of the Newton County Board of Commissioners is both a responsibility and an honor. It requires a dedication to service, leadership, and a deep commitment to the well-being of all those who call Newton County home. As Chair, I am committed to working collaboratively with my fellow Commissioners and all our county employees to continue to build a brighter future for Newton County and its residents.

Newton County is where my family has lived for generations - my children, my grandchildren, and my great-grandchildren call this place home. This is where my roots are deep, and it is for them, and for every resident of our county, that I am committed to doing the work ahead. I am excited about the opportunity to serve in this new capacity and work alongside the citizens, commissioners, and county employees to ensure that Newton County continues to grow and thrive.

Thank you for allowing me to serve you all these years. I am looking forward to this next chapter, with a deep sense of responsibility to the people of this county who I care so much about. Together, we will continue to build a brighter future for Newton County.

Sincerely,

Linda Hays

Interim Chairman, Board of Commissioners 

Newton County